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Table II.

Probability for a rabid cat or dog to penetrate border control measures and enter Taiwan (φ) and annual probability of introducing at least one rabid animal into Taiwan (P) through legal importation by time to infection.

φ
P
Median 5th, 95th percentiles Median 5th, 95th percentiles
Infected before vaccination 3.68 × 10−9 2.89 × 10−10, 2.59 × 10−8 2.64 × 10−6 5.26 × 10−8, 3.03 × 10−5
Infected after vaccination 4.97 × 10−9 1.81 × 10−10, 5.93 × 10−8 5.43 × 10−7 1.62 × 10−9, 2.57 × 10−5
Infected without vaccination 3.89 × 10−8 3.79 × 10−9, 2.63 × 10−7 1.33 × 10−5 4.20 × 10−7, 1.93 × 10−4
Total 5.33 × 10−8 6.79 × 10−9, 3.20 × 10−7 6.96 × 10−5 5.72 × 10−6, 5.71 × 10−4