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Table V.
Probability of detecting BTV-8 incursion in Switzerland at an assumed farm-level prevalence of 0.02 by using different SSC. SEROFARM = individual blood serology of cattle farm; BMT = bulk milk testing on dairy cattle farm; CLIN = passive clinical surveillance in sheep and cattle farm, respectively; ABT = abortion testing; n = number of farms processed per SSC; RS = random sampling; TS = targeted sampling; DA level = disease awareness level; L = low disease awareness; M = medium disease awareness; H = high disease awareness; Vets = veterinarians; CSe = surveillance system component sensitivity; SSe = surveillance system sensitivity.
SSC | Survey design | n | DA level | Percentiles of CSe |
Costs per month (CHF) (based on Tab. VI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5th | 50th | 95th | |||||
SEROFARM | RS | 50 | – | 0.0945 | 0.0948 | 0.0951 | 52 150 |
RS | 100 | – | 0.1801 | 0.1806 | 0.1811 | 104 300 | |
RS | 200 | – | 0.3278 | 0.3286 | 0.3294 | 208 600 | |
TS | 200 | – | 0.5291 | 0.5302 | 0.5313 | 208 600 | |
BMT | RS | 50 | – | 0.0945 | 0.0948 | 0.0951 | 3 100 |
RS | 100 | – | 0.1801 | 0.1806 | 0.1811 | 6 200 | |
RS | 200 | – | 0.3278 | 0.3286 | 0.3294 | 12 400 | |
TS | 200 | – | 0.5291 | 0.5302 | 0.5313 | 12 400 | |
CLIN cattle | – | 52 983 | L: farmer, vets | 0.1445 | 0.3813 | 0.7275 | 1 suspect cattle case: 1 043 |
– | 52 983 | M: farmer, vets | 0.7114 | 0.9532 | 0.9992 | 3 suspect cattle cases: 3 129 | |
CLIN sheep | – | 14 116 | L: farmer; M: vets | 0.1811 | 0.3830 | 0.6254 | 2 suspect sheep cases: 2 614 |
– | 14 116 | M: farmer; H: vets | 0.5735 | 0.8624 | 0.9751 | 5 suspect sheep cases: 6 535 | |
ABT cattle | – | 500 | L: farmer, vets | 1.89E-04 | 5.81E-04 | 1.30E-03 | 500 suspect cattle farms: 521 500 |
CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep | – | L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep | 0.3973 | 0.6403 | 0.8586 | 3 657 | |
CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep | – | L: cattle farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: sheep farmer; H: vets in CLIN sheep | 0.7249 | 0.9237 | 0.9877 | 7 578 (without expenses for information campaigns in order to increase DA) | |
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep | RS | 200 | L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep | 0.5954 | 0.7585 | 0.9051 | 16 057 |
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep | TS | 200 | L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep | 0.7169 | 0.8310 | 0.9336 | 16 057 |
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep | TS | 200 | L: cattle farmer, vets in CLIN cattle M: sheep farmer; H: vets in CLIN sheep | 0.8707 | 0.9642 | 0.9942 | 19 977 (without expenses for information campaigns in order to increase DA) |