Open Access

Table V.

Probability of detecting BTV-8 incursion in Switzerland at an assumed farm-level prevalence of 0.02 by using different SSC. SEROFARM = individual blood serology of cattle farm; BMT = bulk milk testing on dairy cattle farm; CLIN = passive clinical surveillance in sheep and cattle farm, respectively; ABT = abortion testing; n = number of farms processed per SSC; RS = random sampling; TS = targeted sampling; DA level = disease awareness level; L = low disease awareness; M = medium disease awareness; H = high disease awareness; Vets = veterinarians; CSe = surveillance system component sensitivity; SSe = surveillance system sensitivity.

SSC Survey design n DA level Percentiles of CSe
Costs per month (CHF) (based on Tab. VI)
5th 50th 95th
SEROFARM RS 50 0.0945 0.0948 0.0951 52 150
RS 100 0.1801 0.1806 0.1811 104 300
RS 200 0.3278 0.3286 0.3294 208 600
TS 200 0.5291 0.5302 0.5313 208 600
BMT RS 50 0.0945 0.0948 0.0951 3 100
RS 100 0.1801 0.1806 0.1811 6 200
RS 200 0.3278 0.3286 0.3294 12 400
TS 200 0.5291 0.5302 0.5313 12 400
CLIN cattle 52 983 L: farmer, vets 0.1445 0.3813 0.7275 1 suspect cattle case: 1 043
52 983 M: farmer, vets 0.7114 0.9532 0.9992 3 suspect cattle cases: 3 129
CLIN sheep 14 116 L: farmer; M: vets 0.1811 0.3830 0.6254 2 suspect sheep cases: 2 614
14 116 M: farmer; H: vets 0.5735 0.8624 0.9751 5 suspect sheep cases: 6 535
ABT cattle 500 L: farmer, vets 1.89E-04 5.81E-04 1.30E-03 500 suspect cattle farms: 521 500
CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep 0.3973 0.6403 0.8586 3 657
CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep L: cattle farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: sheep farmer; H: vets in CLIN sheep 0.7249 0.9237 0.9877 7 578 (without expenses for information campaigns in order to increase DA)
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep RS 200 L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep 0.5954 0.7585 0.9051 16 057
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep TS 200 L: cattle and sheep farmer, vets in CLIN cattle; M: vets in CLIN sheep 0.7169 0.8310 0.9336 16 057
BMT and CLIN cattle and CLIN sheep TS 200 L: cattle farmer, vets in CLIN cattle M: sheep farmer; H: vets in CLIN sheep 0.8707 0.9642 0.9942 19 977 (without expenses for information campaigns in order to increase DA)