Open Access
Table I.
Sensitivity and specificity of MCMC P values for each prediction method (full = full posterior predictive method, mix 1 and mix 2 = mixed predictive methods 1 and 2 respectively) compared to MCMC P values for cross validation, at different P value thresholds (as specified).
| Cross validation |
Total | Sens (%) | Spec (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | |||||
| P value > 0.90 or < 0.10 | ||||||
| full | 0 | 86 | 14 | 100 | 17.6 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Total | 86 | 17 | 103 | |||
| mix 1 | 0 | 84 | 3 | 87 | 82.4 | 97.7 |
| 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | |||
| Total | 86 | 17 | 103 | |||
| mix 2 | 0 | 86 | 10 | 96 | 41.2 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | |||
| Total | 86 | 17 | 103 | |||
| P value > 0.95 or < 0.05 | ||||||
| full | 0 | 93 | 8 | 101 | 20.0 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Total | 93 | 10 | 103 | |||
| mix 1 | 0 | 90 | 5 | 95 | 50.0 | 96.8 |
| 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Total | 93 | 10 | 103 | |||
| mix 2 | 0 | 93 | 7 | 100 | 30.0 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Total | 93 | 10 | 103 | |||
| P value > 0.975 or < 0. 025 | ||||||
| full | 0 | 98 | 5 | 103 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 98 | 5 | 103 | |||
| mix 1 | 0 | 98 | 2 | 100 | 60.0 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Total | 98 | 5 | 100 | |||
| mix 2 | 0 | 98 | 4 | 102 | 20.0 | 100.0 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Total | 98 | 5 | 103 | |||