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Table III.

Predicted size (number of deer infected) of an outbreak of foot and mouth disease in a population of white-tailed deer in an area of South Texas for each season by ecoregion (Edwards Plateau and South Texas brush). Results shown are from 100 simulations of a susceptible-latent-infectious-resistant geographic automata model (Sirca) for each seasonal deer distribution.

Ecoregion Season Deer
Median Interquartile range 25%, 75% percentile Skewness Kurtosis
Edwards Plateau Winter 101 385 2 868 100 305, 103 239 –0.19 –0.20
Edwards Plateau Spring 90 913 2 885 89 233, 92 139 –2.28 10.5
Edwards Plateau Summer 87 792 2 082 86 612, 88 707 –1.14 4.6
Edwards Plateau Autumn 92 323 2 314 91 126, 93 445 –92 2.07
South Texas brush Winter 40 211 1 819 39 205, 41 086 –2.9 13.9
South Texas brush Spring 50 372 1 330 49 502, 50 866 –2.9 10.1
South Texas brush Summer 54 385 1 753 53 462, 55 233 –4.7 29.8
South Texas brush Autumn 53 389 1 546 52 515, 54 074 –3.01 11.7